We are a 100% employee-owned company empowering the brightest problem-solvers to protect lives by tackling the toughest problems in national defense.

Lives depend on our work, so we ground our efforts in a first-principles approach to problem-solving. Our world is uncertain, but leaders must still understand their options, so we take a principled approach to uncertainty. Our clients are people making critical decisions, so we provide human-centric solutions. Our employees make all our work possible, so we nurture their growth.

People are at the heart of what we do.

First Principles Approach

When lives are on the line, data-driven solutions are required.

Our strategy is grounded in a dedication to applied mathematics and a first-principles approach to problem-solving. This means that instead of beginning with assumptions about the problem and its solution, our path starts with a deep analysis of the problem to be solved, the nature of the data available, and the core needs of the end user.

We find that this first-principles approach yields robust, tailored solutions that outperform black box or ad hoc options when operating live with real-world data. This approach requires not only skill and discipline but also confidence in the ability of mathematics to model a system or process and provide the basis for sound decision-making and insight in operational settings.

Following the July 6, 2013 Asiana Airlines Flight 214 crash, Metron began developing historical flight analysis tools that identify systemic issues to help avoid accidents. These data-driven machine learning tools have changed the industry.

“The miracle of the appropriateness of the language of mathematics for the formulation of the laws of physics is a wonderful gift which we neither understand nor deserve. We should be grateful for it and hope that it will remain valid in future research and that it will extend, for better or for worse, to our pleasure, even though perhaps also to our bafflement, to wide branches of learning.”
Eugene Wigner (1902 – 1995)

For over 35 years, Metron has proved Wigner’s conjecture holds true. In fact, we are so used to this phenomenon that we take it for granted. Nonetheless, it is supremely rewarding when a mathematical model you have developed provides good guidance for making decisions or providing insight into the operation of a complex system.

A significant aspect in crafting these models is determining which factors are most important and which can be safely discounted. Mathematical models, as noted by George E.P. Box, are by necessity simplifications of reality so understanding where to focus is of paramount importance.

“All models are approximations. Assumptions, whether implied or clearly stated, are never exactly true. All models are wrong, but some models are useful. So the question you need to ask is not ‘Is the model true’ (it never is) but ‘Is the model good enough for this particular application?”

George E.P. Box (1919 – 2013)

Principled Approach to Uncertainty

We apply proven Bayesian techniques to solve problems that other methods can’t.

We live in a world in which we can’t know everything, but we must make critical decisions all the same. Much of Metron’s work applies a Bayesian inference framework to problems and systems involving uncertainty. Statistical inference allows us to move beyond simply describing a set of sample data to finding patterns that help us estimate the properties of a sampled population. Bayesian inference improves this process by including past information when making estimates and future decisions. Bayesian inference has proven highly effective when applied to a wide variety of complex problems ranging from detection and tracking involving low signal-to-noise ratios and high false alarm rates to optimum decision-making in the face of ambiguity. This principled approach to uncertainty helps our clients better understand their options so they can make superior decisions and solidly defend them.

On June 1, 2009, Air France Flight 447 disappeared during an overnight flight from Rio to Paris. Metron applied Bayesian statistics in producing the probability map that guided searchers to the location of the wreckage.
Macro view of white clouds onto of a blue planet

Equipping Users with Clear, Credible Solutions

We empower decision-makers to make the tough decisions that protect lives

Metron focuses on clearly communicating modelling results to instill user confidence even when users may not completely understand the complexity of the model itself. Our clients are often users who are under pressure to assess volatile situations and make far-reaching decisions. The most elegant mathematical model is useless if the user does not understand or trust what the model is telling them. Metron follows a human-centered design approach to craft intuitive interfaces that help a user understand and act on our results without having to comprehend the intricacies of the models themselves. This two-pronged approach – coherent, first-principles model development coupled with intuitive interfaces – is what makes Metron’s solutions so well received. At the end of the day, we succeed when we deliver solutions that the operators want to use.

Clearly, technical skill and talent are required to develop and implement these models. Beyond those requirements, one needs the discipline to stick to a coherent model of the problem being addressed. All too often people succumb to the temptation of applying a quick, ad hoc fix to a model to make it “behave” properly. This may solve the short-term problem, but it corrupts the model and dilutes the insight and applicability of the model. In our experience, a well-constructed coherent model performs better than a corrupted one. It is the adherence to coherent models and sound mathematical reasoning that is at the core of Metron’s philosophy of work.

ExAMS is Metron-developed, government-owned software that integrates architecture with modeling and simulation to support the entire system of systems engineering (SoSE) process.

Empowering Leaders

Valuing our greatest asset

Our employees are the key to everything we accomplish. That isn’t just a talking point. It is a fact, and the way we run our company reflects that.

We are 100% employee-owned. As we grow and succeed as a company, so do our employees.

Our work requires leaders and experts. We hire a diverse set of individuals, each offering unique skills and experiences. We empower them to make decisions, and we provide paths for training and career growth.

We create a safe work environment where our employees can produce the world class solutions for which we are known.

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Metron’s core values make us the industry leaders we are. Work here is exciting and impactful.

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